YEREVAN—Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan declared that the draft peace treaty with Azerbaijan is finalized, marking the culmination of nearly four years of negotiations. “I’m ready to put my signature under the agreed draft,” Pashinyan stated in a March 19 post on his official Facebook page.
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This is another one of Pashinyan’s dirty tricks. The elections are around the corner and by rushing to sign this bilateral “peace treaty” by way of more concessions to the enemy he is trying to score political points at home with his former followers who have turned against him now that they have realized what unpatriotic scoundrel they had elected as the leader of the country. He won’t succeed this time around. They will not forgive him for all the misery that has brought upon the nation. He’s been discovered for all his lies and secret dealings and his time is up. It is the end of the road for him. Furthermore, a bilateral “peace treaty” with a vitriolic enemy, a wolf in sheep’s clothing, with no third-party guarantor and enforcement is meaningless and can be broken at any time. He’s really in dire straits and I smell a rat!
Due to the still valid international protocols (although under growing strain) which upheld the Soviet boundaries as the international ones and the fact that Armenia lost. Yerevan had no real choice but to formally accept the boundaries of Armenia as defined by the Soviet Union . The behaviour post 1994 was much waffling around although proposals were made nothing ever finalised, whilst Azerbaijan was able to build up it’s military and turn the tables in 2020.
What some people fail to comphend is that leaving it to another day hasn’t brought relief and the longer its left it unresolved the harsher any agreement is likely to be.
Nations at peace don’t need to have foreign monitors nor forces.
It will also bring an end to Russian game of “Armenia is surrounded by enemies so has to stick with us”, which has defined nature of the relationship for the last 100 years and perhaps Russia might realise that it’s Byzantine strategy for keeping allies weak so as to better control them actually runs the risk of losing them just like with Syria .
The Zangegur corridor seems to be unclear although apart from Turkey and Israel and maybe Trump’s USA (with its irredentist claims on Canada Greenland and Panama) Azerbaijan won’t be getting much international support for a full control. If the war in Ukraine ends in stalemate Russia will still have it’s own closer to home issues to address and influence on the South Caucasus will be less important with greater priorities within Russia. Things change say if the clerical regime in Iran fails, whilst Armenia will lose a sympathetic neighbour, a major draw that Israel has to Azerbaijan will diminsh after all pre 1979 were quite friendly and Armenia and Azerbaijan were isolated in the Soviet Union, all changes such as the revamped website!
This “peace treaty” will be like opening Pandora’s box, full of nasty surprises and outcomes for Armenia. Armenia is no stranger to capitulation treaties imposed by victors. The last one was the capitulation treaty, called the Treaty of Kars in 1921, which was imposed by Turkey and Soviet Russia on Armenia, and which reduced Armenia to its present size and was robbed of its independence for 70 years. This upcoming “peace treaty” could very well resemble the previous one – a Treaty of Kars 2.0.