ARF Bureau Statement Addresses Trilateral Agreement

We have to realize that we cannot fight Turkey which has a 2 million men army
with the best and latest military arsenal. Armenia and Artsakh has to get what its left and may be it could take a few more territory and later work with Armenia to unite Artsakh to Armenia as one nation. Artsakh will never be able to make it as an independent nation, The Azeris will come back to take the rest of it .This way if it becomes united to Armenia the Russians will have to defend it. But Armenia must upgrade its army with present day military equipment instead of their second world war lousy guns.

Let’s say Pashinyan resigns. What is going to happen next? It will take a month or two to organize new elections. That’s in case they want to do it democratically. The idea that a coalition of different political parties will rule the country is nonsense. Decisions can’t be made by a group of people. Let’s say someone, probably Kocharian or Sarkisian, somehow comes to power. What will happen then? Will they restart the war? If yes, then are there any guarantees that we are going to have a different outcome? Armenia was fighting a coalition of Turkey, Azerbaijan and Syrian Terrorists and it was doing it with inferior weapons. By now, it is obvious that Russia will not interfere. We can discuss the reasons behind this Russian behavior for hours but it is not going to change the reality that Russians are not really sad with this outcome. Obviously, they have their own deal with Turks. So what will change? The idea that the change of leadership, in this case Pashinian, will somehow magically strengthen the Armenian army is another nonsense. The change of one guy will not drastically make an army stronger overnight. It’s a process that should have been done during 25 years. I understand the desire to find a scapegoat and vent anger on him. In this case, the PM is an easy choice but that is not going to change much except destabilize the country. This is the result of outsourcing your security to another county and over reliance on an ally. Azerbaijan did not start hoarding weapons yesterday. They were doing it for at least 10 years. And many of those who are criticizing Pashinian were the leaders who convinced us Armenians will win with the “most combat ready Army” and “asymmetric fighting”. Build your country. Strengthen the economy. Organize large scale repatriation. Let Armenia’s population grow to 5 or 6 million in 30 years. Let the economy grow tenfold and the military budget reach 6 or 7 billion. In 20 years, Azerbaijan’s oil export will halve and will struggle to even feed its own people, let alone buying Israeli drones. Then you can get whatever you want. You might even be able to challenge Turkey over parts of Western Armenia. That’s how you do things. Whether Pashinian stays or leaves is probably the least important thing.