Opinion
Can Armenia become a new Georgia?
As the Artsakh blockade imposed by Azerbaijan entered its second month with no end in sight, the Armenian government increased the level of criticism of Russia. The new phase of anti-Russian rhetoric was launched by the secretary of the Security Council, who, in late December 2022, publicly claimed that Russia was using the closure of the Lachin Corridor to force Armenia to join the union state of Russia and Belarus and open an “exterritorial corridor” to Azerbaijan’s Nakhichevan exclave v
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We shouldnt betray to lran and russia for west they never supported armenia,they didnt help armenians when armenians suffered during lebanese civil war also syria and lraq egypt pogroms against christians
We should become the Russian state of Armenia
The enemies of Armenia have always been Azerbaijan and Turkey. For Pashinyan to support the western narrative for Armenia, these talking points are also shared with the anti-Russian terrorist organizations, i.e. Sasna Dzrer and its morphed National Democratic Alliance party (no coincidence). The only deductive conclusion one can make is, if the Russians vacate Armenia, Turkey will fill-in that void. Whether our Russian and Iranian neighbors will enjoy a NATO front in the southern caucuses, this would be a new scenario that would need critical analysis and the input of our centuries old partners of Armenia.
Independence from Russia will only result in dependence on Turkey. Our professional Russophobes understand this very well. The only thing our 30 year old independence has shown us is that we are not ready for independence. Armenia would be much better off as part of the Russian Federation. The only question is after all this would Russians be willing to take us back.
What exactly has 30 years of Russian presence in Armenia accomplished? The notion that Russia somehow guarantees security to Armenia has been a myth for 30 years now. It takes a dictator to know a dictator. The Tsarist regime that rules Russia(Putin) empathizes more with dictators like Aliev than they do with a more democratic Pashinyan. Russia is a hostile 2 faced state using problems of Armenia against Armenians in an ongoing effort to keep dependence on Russia. The problem is alliance with Russia means absolutely nothing and not just for Armenia but for any other country. Russia looks at its allies as nothing more than subjects or henchmen rather than worthy partners and friends. It is no surprise that the Eastern European countries have moved away from Russia and toward the direction of NATO. Armenia is long overdue of this movement. The current government of Armenia is making the right decision by moving away from Russia. This won’t happen overnight but I’m certain it will in the next 4-10 years. As far as Iran, I strongly disagree that the West will be hostile to Armenia just because we have some relations with Iran. Armenia shares a border with Iran so it is vital to it’s economy and the West will likely tolerate that. Let’s not forget that Turkey and Iran are major trade partners. Turkey, being a NATO member does not seem to get any lecture from the West on that matter. As far as Azerbaijan, the Western leaders have made it clear to dictator Aliev in September that military invasion will not be tolerated. Plus, the presence of Western military, namely French and American peacekeepers in Artsakh will get a better insight on who the aggressor is if it’s not clear at this point. Also, Armenia not being bound the Russia and CSTO will have the ability to purchase better technology from France and US to deter any aggression from Azerbaijan.