Is Iran making a comeback to the South Caucasus?

Great Article. “friendship and ally” are usually based on mutual benefits. It’s perfectly clear why Turkey, Azerbaijan and Israel want Syunik. This will not only cut off Iran but will also cut off Armenia, making it totally dependent on Georgia as an outside link, who historically has been hostile towards Armenia. Make no mistake, losing Syunik is a double win for Israel and the Turks. A close Armenia – Iran relationship, is far better for Armenia. Hopefully Pashinyan, who in my opinion sabotaged the war effort, doesn’t totally sell out Armenia, as his actions border on treason. Further, beside Iran providing a reliable trade route, a possible future oil gas pipeline route from Iran through Armenia would be a fantastic bonanza bringing much needed money and clout to Armenia. But this scenario would not only alarm Armenia’s enemies, but would alarm Russia too, as this would compete with Russian oil and would threaten Russia’s grip on Armenia by making it less dependent. Armenia needs to start directly coordinating with Iran, especially with its military by installing the Khordad-3 air defense system if it truly is effective against drones. It shouldn’t rely upon Russian military alone as the last war made clear of Russia’s useless indifference as it sat on the sidelines and watched 4k Armenians being murdered by a coordinated Turkish, Azeri and Israeli effort. The key to all this is Pashinyan. Unfortunately he is a proven loser and a totally useless, clueless incompetent. And worse a traitor to boot. Iran is a much better play for Armenia’s future, its that simple. Hopefully Armenia understands this.

Fantastic article. It is certainly a topic I hope you will continue to research and write more about… As was pointed out, Iran, Armenia (and Russia) have much to lose if a weakened Armenia cedes its borders with Iran. Not only would the North South Transport corridor be curtailed, but also from a military standpoint, Russia ( and Iran) will be further encircled by NATO and its Allies. Articles I have read online seem to suggest that while Iran may have woken up to these perceived threats, Russia is still fast asleep. See, https://www.tehrantimes.com/news/466752/3-3-format-on-Karabakh-The-best-way-forward. This area of conflict may have more geo-Political implications (and significance) than many people are aware. As a neutral observer, I am curious to learn what comes next.