Garen Mouths Off
‘Lav, Pav, Tsav’
It was a tough choice—write about Turkey’s latest mess with its ludicrous arrests of HDP parliamentarians or the U.S. election. Erdogan’s shenanigans won for two reasons: Some election results are still too close to call with many uncounted ballots remaining and inspired by the trend of recent developments, I noticed a pattern of Turkish history.
We might be witnessing the beginning of a third, and hopefully final/terminal, phase of Turkish dominance in Asia Minor, hence the “lav, pav
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The author’s observations are accurate to a high degree . However he fails to mention that this cycle was only possible due to the fact that they managed to play the Great Powers of the day. They are still ,sadly, performing it today. They are utilizing their expanding market/economy and their geostrategic position to entice the world powers to support them and recognize them as a regional power. Unless the countries in the area i.e Greece, Armenia, Serbia, Cyprus and Syria launch a unified economical cold war against the Turks , Turkey will prevail. The Kurds are too divided and isolated and the Turkish progressive forces are fragmented and their influence is negligible even in the large cities. The struggle against the Islamists, the emerging Military-Industrial Complex, the merchant and industrial/agricultural class is going to be a long and difficult one. In short the internal contradictions of the régime are not sufficient to undermine the Republic of Turkey.