ColumnsTashjian's Take

More Than Just a Map: Stratfor’s Map of Turkey’s Sphere of Influence 2050

Stratfor is an intelligence-based “research center” often described as the “shadow CIA” whose advisory is to sell intelligence. Its founder George Friedman published a book in 2009 titled “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century,” which is based on predictions of how the geo-political map of the world

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Yeghia Tashjian

Yeghia Tashjian is the Issam Fares Institute Public Policy and International Affairs-American University of Beirut’s Regional and International Affairs Cluster Coordinator. He holds a master’s degree in Public Policy and International Affairs from the American University of Beirut and completed the "Strategic Leadership in Global Societal Security Program" at the Swedish Defense University in 2022. He earned his bachelor’s degree in political science from Haigazian University in 2013 and has worked in the university's Armenian Diaspora Research Center between 2016-2017. Yeghia's master’s thesis focused on China's geopolitical and energy security interests in Iran and the Persian Gulf. Currently, Tashjian is engaged in research on the phenomenon of Turkish-Russian 'co-opetition' in the MENA+ Caucasus region and Russia's involvement in the International North-South Transport Corridor. He contributes to various local and regional newspapers, has presented various topics from minority rights to regional security issues, and is a part-time instructor in the Department of Political Studies and Public Administration at the American University of Beirut.

12 Comments

    1. It is already happening! You may not like it, but USA wants this map to change against China and Russia.. Turkey will be most powerful country in the region.

    2. Coming from Armenian aspirations to bring in the US into Armenia, I don’t think you should talk too loudly, you angered and insulted Russianand look what happened to you in NK. Out of your hands. Just like east turkey, you always have been siding with the wrong parties, hoping they will help you. Instead of being part of the solution, you became part of the problem.

  1. Don t be so sure David. the Turks have done it before. Today the Turks are the most militarily powerfull in the middle east.

    1. I don’t think so. It is always in Egypt’s interest to have friendly relationships. Even in Ottoman times it was so. Both countries working together makes much more sense than being at odds. That’s why the current feud is being solved.

    2. Look at the reality, today. Egypt is aligned again with Türkiye, organizing collective operations against common potential threats, influencing together east of Africa, and making mutually beneficial arrangements in the Mediterranean… Armenia has also seemingly decided to align with the shift, and befriend this new influential region (hopefully for the best of everyone’s benefit). Should peace come to the south of Caucasia, the most benefiting will indeed be Armenia, at least as a partner of trade routes…

  2. Peaceful Armenians live happily in Turkey as they did ottoman and Roman times. Don’t be tool of others and live with hate.

  3. Greece would destroy western Turkey before it allowed this to happen, and they’ve got the weapons to do it, too. Wait and see.

    1. After what happened in Ukraine against Russia, imagine how ‘West” would support or if it support by any means, one of the weakest contributor in their union against one of their own allies in the region, which hosts million of refugees, holds one of the strongest armies, guaranteeing their own safety in Europe. As Turkish people, we are pro-peace in the region, and I personally believe that the best is to ally all together in the region with Greece, as well with Armenia, and restore peace in the overall Euro-Asian bridging geographies from Caucasia to the Balkans. We are stronger together.

  4. A dictator wish is never Turkish people wish.Turkish people wants peace in Turkey and peace in the world.The dictator will die soon but this Turkish policy is eternel.Best regards.

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